Public Nuisance

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The first Republican president once said, "While the people retain their virtue and their vigilance, no administration by any extreme of wickedness or folly can seriously injure the government in the short space of four years." If Mr. Lincoln could see what's happened in these last three-and-a-half years, he might hedge a little on that statement.
-Ronald Reagan

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Wednesday, November 03, 2004
 
Looking at the nearly-final electoral map, the most striking thing is how firmly lines have been drawn. So far, the only state that has switched from 2000 is New Hampshire. Florida, which Bush had to steal in 2000, he seems to have won honestly, making the generous assumption that the count there, including counts from electronic machines, was legitimate. Iowa and New Mexico, extremely close for Gore in 2000, seem to have gone extremely close for Bush this time. But they don't actually count; only Ohio matters at this point.

However, we have to accept that the election is probably a lost cause. Bush has a current lead and, as the overtime starts up, has the same advantages he had in 2000: an initial lead (much larger than before), a total lack of scruples, a GOP Secretary of State, GOP Governor, GOP state legislature, and, if he needs a last minute miracle, GOP Supreme Court. He'll find a way to win.

Update: As I was writing, news came through that Kerry has conceded.

So what comes next? The Democrats now have a choice: whether to go along as in 2001 - 2003 or actually be an opposition party and oppose. Clearly, the grass roots and most of the party will support real opposition. However the main forum for real fighting in the near future will be the Senate, and a relatively small number of defections would mean de facto no serious opposition.



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